Modeling Uncertainty in Aircraft Design
Effect of Atmospheric Uncertainty on the Probability of a GA aircraft (Cessna 172 ) meeting the Technical Requirements
This code implements an aircraft performance and optimization algorithm under uncertainty.
It takes aircraft parameters (mass, geometry, aerodynamics, engine), uncertainty levels, technical specificationrequirements, and optimization settings as inputs.
The algorithm performs an iterative equilibrium search to balance thrust and drag for speed determination, uses Monte Carlo simulation to account for random atmospheric conditions, and employs a search to guarantee global optimum in wing parameter optimization.
Outputs include the probability of meeting TZ requirements for the baseline geometry, optimized wing parameters, performance improvement, atmospheric and performance plots, an optimization heatmap, and a detailed report with recommendations.